
(Due the amount of requests, we must limit inquiries and responses to media representatives only. If that is of interest to you, please contact us. We are happy to share the raw data and methodologies we use with any media organization that wants to link to or share our charts and data. Want to share our charts but need to verify our data?


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For jobs growth, it’s either first full calendar month in office (so if you are inaugurated in the middle of January, the first full month is February). For stock market performance, it is the first stock market day in office. We start measurement of performance for a president from the first full time period after their inauguration. Some metrics are measured daily (like stock market performance), monthly (like jobs growth) and quarterly (like GDP growth). After verifying the raw data, we then calculate updated cumulative and annualized performance data for the current president (the data for previous presidents have been calculated and verified in advance). Meanwhile, economic activity remains well below its pre-pandemic level, and millions of Americans continue to grapple with unemployment, hunger and struggle to pay their bills.Ĭumulatively, the S&P 500 gained 67% from Trump’s inauguration to the market close on Tuesday, Januhis last full day in office.We capture the data as soon as it’s available to us – stock market data after daily market close, jobs data once a month and GDP data once a quarter. More than 24 million coronavirus cases have been identified in the US, and 400,000 Americans have died. Months later, stocks have bounced back even as the country is still struggling to recover. The S&P 500 reached a high on Februand then plunged 34% over a month, as states enacted stay-at-home orders and businesses shut down to contain the virus. And the unemployment rate plunged below 4%.Ī trade war with China temporarily sucked some of the air out of the market’s gains in late 2018, but it wasn’t until the coronavirus pandemic hit the United States in early 2020 that the bull market officially came to an end. Early in Trump’s presidency, corporate profits spiked after his signature legislative achievement - a tax overhaul. Here’s how the S&P 500 performed under each president from Reagan to Trump. President Donald Trump’s upset victory initially fueled a breathtaking rally in the stock market as investors welcomed his pro-business agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and infrastructure spending. President Donald Trump often cites the stock market as a scorecard of his policies. “Where I come from in Scranton and Claymont, the people don’t live off of the stock market.” “The idea that the stock market is booming is his only measure of what’s happening,” Biden said of Trump in the final presidential debate in October. Unlike his predecessor, incoming President-elect Joe Biden does not put nearly as much emphasis on stocks as a gauge of the country’s strength or wellbeing.

Bush, who also failed to win reelection, ended his four years with stocks up around 50%. Stocks were up 75% four years into Bill Clinton’s presidency, and 25% into Ronald Reagan’s.

Bush, down about 13% because of the September 11th attacks and the dot-com bust. Here’s how that performance stacks up to stocks at the same point in other modern presidencies (1,006 trading days, to be exact): Stocks were up 83% at this point in Barack Obama’s presidency, amid the recovery from the Great Recession. They were much weaker under George W. Now, as he wraps up his last day in the White House, where does Trump’s beloved stock market stand? As of Tuesday’s market close, the S&P 500 was up 67% since his Inauguration Day in 2017. He often tweeted in all caps about “ALL TIME HIGHS!!!” for stocks, even as the country grappled with surging coronavirus cases and high unemployment during the pandemic. But throughout his four years in office, it clearly was President Donald Trump’s favorite metric. The stock market is certainly not the best indicator of the economy’s health, or of a president’s track record.
